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Texas Power Grid Update: ERCOT Prepares for Winter Freeze

Electric Reliability Council of Texas, responsible for over 90% of Texas’ electricity grid has stated its confidence that it will be able to provide stable power during this cold snap. The reassurance is coming as Texas prepares to potentially experience record low temperatures.

Texas Governor Greg Abbott sent out a warning on Monday to residents, advising them that the “coldest event of the season” could occur in the next few days. The National Weather Service has also issued **extreme cold warnings** for numerous northern and central Texas regions, highlighting the severity of the impending weather event. This includes prolonged periods of sub-freezing temperatures and dangerously low wind chill factors.

Why Grid Stability Matters in Texas

ERCOT’s readiness is a result of the catastrophic power grid failure that Texas experienced in the aftermath of the Winter Storm, February 20, 2021. This crisis caused widespread power outages that affected over 4.5 millions homes and businesses. It also tragically resulted to more than 24 deaths, making it the worst infrastructure failure Texas has ever experienced. It is important to remember this incident because it highlights the importance of a robust Texas power system.

Texas implemented grid upgrades in 2021 to avoid a repeat of these widespread power outages. Any repeat of 2021’s disruptions could cause major issues for Texas, with the potential to undermine public confidence and trigger political consequences.

A view of electrical infrastructure in Texas.
Brandon Bell/GETTY

ERCOT Preparedness: Key information

ERCOT posted a message on Monday, formerly Twitter. It announced a “weather watch” between the 19th and 21st of February, citing the forecasted extreme cold across the ERCOT area, the higher demand for electricity, and possible lower reserves. ERCOT assures Texans that despite the increased alert “grid conditions should be normal throughout the week.”

ERCOT’s latest forecast indicates that electricity supplies are significantly higher than demand. ERCOT forecasts an excess of around 12,000 Megawatts on Thursday morning at its tightest. This is well above the 2,500 Megawatt threshold for grid emergencies. The surplus is a significant buffer to potential grid strain.

NWS’s extreme cold warnings are in place for large portions of central and northern Texas through Thursday noon, when wind chill values could drop as low as 15 degrees Fahrenheit. Cold weather injuries can be increased by the combination of strong winds and low temperatures.

National Weather Service warns that hypothermia and frostbite are possible if proper precautions aren’t taken. Residents are advised to take precautions, minimize exposure outdoors and use appropriate safety measures.

Abbott highlighted the severity of the freeze on Monday. He said, “It will be widespread in the state, with temperatures near zero.” The temperatures are expected to plummet in the days ahead, and so people need to take extra care.

Experts and Official Comments

The rest of the State should be spared from this latest round of snow, according to a weather expert. Another weather event that will have an impact on the region is some freezing drizzle and rain near the Eastern Panhandle, northern Prairie and Dallas Tuesday night. It is possible that freezing rain or drizzle will create dangerous travel conditions in the area.

In an **X post on Monday,** Governor Abbott provided details about the state’s comprehensive response, writing, “Provided an update on Texas’ response to statewide weather threats today from the State Operations Center in Austin. The state agencies are ready for the wildfire threat in West Texas and flash floods in East Texas. They also have severe weather conditions in Texas. The multifaceted approach to addressing multiple potential hazards was demonstrated.

Energy analyst, who noted Texas’s power challenges, stated that: “Texas saw population growth as well as things like oil and gasoline industry boom in Permian Basin and these operations were being powered by electricity. Now increasingly, those operations are run by grid electricity.” These factors are creating a tremendous amount of demand on the Texas electricity system.

Watching ERCOT grid performance in the future

In the coming days, we will see the impact that the cold weather system has had on Texas as well as the performance of ERCOT. It will be essential to follow **ERCOT grid conditions** during this intense weather event. A grid failure would put a huge strain on the government, and could have complex political implications.

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